Oscar Picks: Predictions and Hopes

Best Picture

Prediction: Two film race, neither of which deserves it. King’s Speech is not the best history and quite predictable and formulaic. Excellent acting and the natural drama of the story make it a great movie, but not even close to this year’s best film. Social Network’s portrayal of Mark Zuckerberg is so absurd that it is tough for me to even consider that it might be the best film, despite it many excellent qualities. I would not mind seeing The Fighter pull off an upset, but I think King’s Speech wins. I still consider it a Pick’em.


Should: (I have not seen 127 Hours or Black Swan). Inception is one of the best and most innovative films in the past few decades. Incredibly complex, yet entirely coherent. Brilliantly written and directed. This is the film from this year that people will still be talking about decades from now.


Best Actor


Prediction: Colin Firth.


Should: Colin Firth was brilliant and is very deserving. Can’t comment on James Franco, but Firth tops the others.


Best Actress


Prediction: Natalie Portman.


Should: Natalie Portman, I assume. I know it’s not Annette Bening, whose performance is not even the best female performance in the movie for which she is nominated.


Best Director


Prediction: David Fincher over Tom Hooper.  Or the opposite.


Should: David O. Russell, since Christopher Nolan, despite being one of the most worthy in the history of the awards, is not nominated. The Fighter was incredibly authentic (an attribute that I value very much) thanks to great acting and a great job by Russell.  He dererves the credit for the feel of the movie, which is what really makes it excellent.

Supporting Actor


Prediction: Christian Bale


Should: Bale. Awesome performance. Rush would be very deserving. Renner is good enough for most years.


Supporting Actress


Prediction: Hailee Steinfeld


Should: Hailee Steinfeld, though she is the film’s protagonist. Deepest category of the night, full of excellent, worthy performances.


Original Screenplay


Prediction: David Seidler. Shoddy history ftw.


Should: Christopher Nolan. Actual art.


Adapted Screenplay


Prediction: Sorkin.


Should: Sorkin. Without his brilliant dialogue it’s hard to imagine this movie having a real chance to win the big one.